Archive for June, 2008

Paraguay: The Greatest Hydro Energy Exporter on Earth

Wednesday, June 25th, 2008

Regular Peter Mac readers will know that for some years (since 2004 to be precise) I’ve been visiting the landlocked South American heartland of Paraguay. It’s a de facto tax haven with no personal income or capital gains taxes. It’s possible to obtain a second passport from Paraguay after as few as two years.

So it’s with great pleasure that I see other financial newsletter writers are finally beginning to catch on! Here’a a recent article by Tom Dyson, reproduced by kind permission of Daily Wealth:

Yesterday I visited the world’s largest hydroelectric power plant. The name of this plant is Itaipu. It sits on the border between Brazil and Paraguay, on one of the largest rivers in Latin America, the Rio Parana.

A few months ago, I visited the largest coal-fired power plant in America, Plant Scherer. When Scherer operates at full capacity, it produces 3.5 gigawatts of power. A nuclear reactor produces around one gigawatt of power

Itaipu produces 14 gigawatts of power. In other words, it’s four times the size of America’s largest coal power plant… and 14 times the size of most nukes. Itaipu provides 93% of Paraguay’s power and 25% of Brazil’s power.

I can’t explain in words what a beast this dam is. It stretches four miles across and 65 stories high. The iron and steel used to build it would give you 380 Eiffel Towers. It’s one of the seven modern wonders of the world, alongside the Panama Canal and the Golden Gate Bridge.

According to their joint agreement, Paraguay gets 50% of the electricity from the dam. Brazil gets 50%. But Paraguay is a small country. It has a population of 6 million people… versus 200 million in Brazil. So Paraguay only keeps 5% of Itaipu’s power and sells the rest back to Brazil.

This makes Paraguay the largest exporter of hydroelectric power in the world.

Here’s the thing: Paraguay sells its electricity to Brazil at $3 per megawatt-hour. Right now, Brazil can sell the same unit of electricity to its private utilities at $150 per megawatt-hour. There is an electricity crisis in Latin America right now, especially in Chile, and electricity prices are very high. It’s immediately obvious Brazil is not paying Paraguay the right price for its power. And Paraguay is losing billions of dollars.Corrupt politicians set this low price in 1973… under a 50-year contract. The Brazilians bribed the Paraguayan government to sell them power at a rate that’s far too low. Now, there are calls to change this rate, but who knows if that’ll happen…

The thing is, Paraguay doesn’t have to sell its power to Brazil. It could consume the power itself. I think it would be a great business to set up an aluminum or zinc smelter here. These businesses are electricity-intensive. The problem is, Paraguay is a poor country and has absolutely no industry. It’s all agriculture here.

According to the people at Itaipu, the energy the dam creates every day is the equivalent to 433,000 barrels of oil. That’s about half of what Canada’s Athabasca oil sands produce each day. Except it’s renewable, it’s clean, and it takes no energy to produce.

This cheap electricity is one of the reasons I like Paraguay as an investment. But it’s hard to get your money into the country…

Paraguay has no stock market… only a small bond market. So to invest in Paraguay, you’ll have to go there yourself and buy assets from the locals. That’s a good thing. It means everything is cheap.

Cue Wealth…

In Paraguay, for example, you can buy companies for book value… that pay 45% dividends, according to one broker I met. You can buy real estate with 10% rental yields. And cattle farms with 18.5% cash yields.

More to come from Paraguay in my next column…

Good investing,

Tom

P.S. The Three Gorges Dam in China will be the largest hydroelectric dam in the world by volume. It will operate at full capacity by 2011. China hopes it’ll produce 18 gigawatts. That’s bigger than Itaipu.

Our tour guide wasn’t convinced Three Gorges would be able to produce that much power. “The Yangtze isn’t as powerful as the Parana,” he said. “We’ll see…”

P.P.S. There is talk of a hydro plant twice the size of Three Gorges in Africa, on the Congo River. But it’ll never happen. For a start, only 10% of Africans have access to the grid… What will they do with all that power? And secondly, it will require cooperation from seven different central African countries… and hundreds of billions of dollars in loans.

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CLEAN ENERGY STOCKS ARE DUE FOR A BIG RALLYThe PowerShares Clean Energy ETF (PBW) debuted in April 2005.

With more than $1.5 billion in assets, PBW is one of most popular, diversified ways to invest in solar, biomass, wind, and geothermal energy. Common sense tells us when the holy trinity of fossil fuels – crude oil, coal, and natural gas – rise in price, companies that provide cleaner substitutes should also rise in price.

Today’s chart tracks the ratio between the price of crude oil and the price of the Clean Energy ETF. When the ratio hits around 3 or below, clean energy stocks are popular and soaring. When the ratio moves past 5, clean energy shares are out of favor and lagging the gains made in crude oil.

PBW’s only been around for three years, and this indicator is pretty rough… But with oil approaching $130 a barrel and clean energy stocks out of favor, expect a rally from the “treehugger-approved” companies of the world.

The Multi-Trillion Dollar Bank You Have Probably Never Heard Of

Thursday, June 19th, 2008

What bank recently set a record by processing transactions of more than $10 trillion per day?

This bank, founded in 1997, is owned by a Swiss company which in turns owns what the bank itself describes as a UK “shell” company, which in turn owns the bank itself, which is regulated in New York but has its back office operations outsourced to a company registered in England and Wales.

You could be forgiven for not having heard of this bank. It’s not exactly well known. If you go to its own website and click on Press Office > Media Coverage you get “No results found”.  Google doesn’t turn up much about it either, except for a few sites rehashing Press Releases put out by the bank itself.

This bank doesn’t have any bricks and mortar branches. I reviewed its website and looked at the “Contact Us” and “Offices” pages and I couldn’t even find a physical street address for it. The only address I could find on their site was a PO Box address in London for sending job applications. Of course it does have a physical office in London’s Docklands, but I’ll be darned if I could find it on their site!

I’ll tell you the name of this bank to see if it means anything to you: CLS Bank International

Even with today’s inflation figures and the dollar losing its value, $10 trillion is a hell of a lot of money. That’s just in one day! (19th March, 2008 to be precise, information from CLS Bank Press Release, source url below)

To put this in perspective, the average total amount that Citi Global Custody Services, one of the largest foreign exchange banks, holds in custody is  $13 trillion. So to oversimplify things a little so you get the jist, CLS Bank transacts in a day, not far off what Citibank holds on deposit.

Now, those of you who read my columns regularly are well aware that I’m a free marketeer. I certainly don’t believe that we should restrict currency flows around the world, although I believe there is a strong likelihood of the US doing so at some point in the fairly near future - most likely by the back door. I’m also not a believer in conspiracy theories.

But of course, that $10 trillion was not payments between the likes of you and me, or payments for tangible goods or services. It was the results of pure speculation using money created out of thin air by fractional reserve banking. However, there’s no doubt that volumes of money like this flitting around the globe do affect the stability of the financial system. Maybe it’s not a bad thing to bring operations like this more out into the open.

I’m not saying this will happen, but it’s certainly fair to ask the question, what would happen  to the world financial system if CLS Bank suffered a liquidity crisis along the lines of those recently seen at Bear Stearns, Lehman Bros et al?

I’ll be writing more about this bank, and another similar institution the Depositary Trust and Clearing Corporation, in an exclusive article for The Q Wealth Report edition 51, due for release at the end of August.  Click here to visit The Q Wealth Report.

Meanwhile, you might be interested to know if you can open an account at this bank, or get a credit card from them. Well, no, you can’t. They only deal with other financial institutions. CLS Bank conveniently published a Press Release earlier this month listing their clients, which I have pasted in below for your edification…

 

03 June 2008
CLS third party participant list - 2817 now live

In addition to the 61 CLS Bank Members, a total of 2817 participants are currently using the CLS Bank service. Included in this total are 378 banks, corporates and non-bank financial institutions and a further 2439 investment funds.*

New third party users are highlighted in bold.

Aargauische Kantonalbank, Aarau
Abaxbank, Milan
ABP (Stichting Pensioenfonds), Netherlands
ADM Derivatives Inc., Chicago
AIG International Inc, Wilton
Aletti & C Banca Di Investimento Mobiliare Spa, Milan
Alfa Bank, Moscow
Allgemeine Sparkasse Oberoesterreich Bankaktiengesellschaft, Linz
Amagerbanken, Copenhagen
American Express Bank, Poole
Anglo Irish Bank, Dublin
Arab Bank PLC, London
Arab Banking Corporation, Manama
Axis Bank, Mumbai
Baden-Wuerttembergische Bank, Stuttgart
Banca Akros, Milan
Banca Antonveneta, Padova
Banca del Ceresio, Lugano
Banca del Gottardo, Lugano
Banca Del Sempione, Lugano
Banca Fideuram SpA, Milano
Banca Monte Dei Paschi di Siena, Milan
Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, Rome
Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, London
Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, New York
Banca Popolare di Sondrio, Sondrio
Banca Transilvania S.A., Cluj-Napoca
Bancaperta, Sondrio
Banco Comercial Portugues, Lisbon
Banco de Sabadell, Sabadell
Banco di Desio e della Brianza S.P.A., Desio
Banco do Brasil, Rio de Janeiro
Banco do Brasil, Tokyo
Banco do Brasil, London
Banco do Brasil, New York
Banco Espirito Santo, Lisbon
Banco Popular Español, Madrid
Banco Santander Central Hispano, Madrid
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
Bank Cial, Basle
Bank fuer Arbeit und Wirschaft AG, Vienna
Bank fuer Kaernten und Steiermark, Klagenfurt
Bank fuer Tirol und Vorarlberg, Innsbruck
Bank Hapoalim, Tel Aviv
Bank Hapoalim, Zurich
Bank Internasional Indonesia, Jakarta
Bank Julius Baer and Co., Zurich
Bank Leumi, Tel Aviv
Bank of Asia, Bangkok
Bank of Ireland, US
Bank of Ireland Treasury, Dublin
Bank of Israel, Jerusalem
Bank of Montreal, Toronto
Bank of Montreal, London
Bank of Nagoya, Nagoya
Bank of New York - Inter Maritime Bank, Geneva
Bank of Scotland, London
Bank of Yokohama, Tokyo
Bank Rakyat Indonesia, Jakarta
Bank Sal. Oppenheim Jr. und Cie. (Schweiz) AG., Zurich
Bank Sarasin and Co. Ltd, Basle
Bank Sinopac Taiwan, Taipei
Bank Von Ernst und Cie AG, Switzerland
Bank Vontobel, Zurich
Bankgesellschaft, Berlin
Bankhaus Lampe KG, Duesseldorf
Banque Cantonale de Fribourg, Fribourg
Banque Cantonale de Geneve, Geneva
Banque Cantonale Vaudoise, Lausanne
Banque Carnegie, Luxembourg
Banque Degroof, Brussels
Banque Degroof Luxembourg S.A, Luxembourg
Banque D’Orsay, Paris
Banque Federative du Credit Mutuel, Paris
Banque Franck, Geneva
Banque Jacob Safra (Suisse), Geneva
Banque Morval et Cie, Lugano
Banque Nationale du Canada, Montreal
Banque Privee Edmond de Rothschild, Geneva
Banque Safra, Luxembourg
Banque Syz and Co. Sa, Geneva
Basellandschaftliche Kantonalbank, Liestal
Basler Kantonalbank, Basle
Bear Stearns Securities Corporation, New York
Berner Kantonalbank, Berne
BGC Brokers, London
BHF Bank, Frankfurt
Bipielle Bank, Lugano
Biverbanca, Biella
Blom Bank, Beirut
Bremer Landesbank, Bremen
Britannia Buiding Society, Leek
British Arab Commercial Bank, London
Brown Brothers Harriman and Co., New York
BSI, Lugano
Caixa Geral de Depositos, Lisbon
Caja Madrid - Caja de Ahorros y Monte de Piedad de Madrid, Madrid
Canara Bank, Mumbai
Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., New York
Cantor Fitzgerald International, London
Cantor Fitzgerald Europe, London
Capitalia, Rome
Central European International Bank, Budapest
Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Chicago
Chinatrust Commercial Bank, Hong Kong
Chinatrust Commercial Bank, Taipei
Cho Hung Bank, Seoul
Chugoku Bank, Tokyo
Chuo Mitsui Trust and Banking Co., Tokyo
Citadel Investment Group, Chicago
Citigroup Global Markets, New York
Clariden Bank, Zurich
CMC Group Plc, London
Compagnie Financière Edmond de Rothschild Banque, Paris
Conrad Hinrich Donner Bank, Hamburg
Co-Operative Bank, London
Corner Banca, Lugano
Corporation Bank, Mumbai
Credit Industriel et Commercial, Paris
Daegu Bank, Seoul
Dah Sing Bank, Hong Kong
Daishi Bank, Tokyo
Dansk Supermarked, Copenhagen
Dekabank Deutsche Girozentrale, Frankfurt
Deutsche Postbank, Bonn
Deutsche Postbank, Munsbach
Deutsche Postbank International, Munsbach
Deutsche Schiffsbank, Bremen
Dresdner Bank, Zurich
DVB Bank, Frankfurt
DZ Bank, London
DZ Bank, Frankfurt
DZ Bank, Hong Kong
EFG Bank, Zurich
EFG Eurobank Ergasias, Athens
Ehinger & Armand von Ernst, Zurich
Erste Bank Der Oesterreichischen Sparkassen, Vienna
Eurizon Capital SGR
Export-Import Bank of Korea, Seoul
Farmers Bank of China, Taipei
Fideuram Bank (Luxembourg) S.A., Luxembourg
Fimat International Banque, London
Finter Bank Zuerich, Zurich
First International Bank of Israel, Tel Aviv
Firstrand Bank, Johannesberg
Fonds de Compensation AVS/Ausgleichsfonds Der AHV, Geneva
Forenings Sparbanken AB, London
Forsakringsaktiebolaget Skandia, Stockholm
Forstaedernes Bank A/S, Copenhagen
GFX Corporation, Chicago
Greenwich Capital Markets Inc., Delaware
GlaxoSmithKline Finance PLC, Brentford
Gulf International Bank, London
Gulf International Bank B.S.C., Manama
Hana Bank, Seoul
Hauck und Aufhaeuser Privatbankiers, Frankfurt
Hewlett Packard, New York
Hewlett Packard International Bank, Leixlip
HDFC Bank Limited, Mumbai
Higo Bank, Tokyo
HSH Nordbank, Copenhagen
HSH Nordbank, Hamburg
Hyakugo Bank, Tokyo
IDBI Bank Ltd, India
ICAP Securities Ltd, London
Iccrea Banca, Rome
ICICI Bank Ltd, Mumbai
Indian Overseas Bank, Chennai
Indonesische Overzeese Bank, Amsterdam
Industrial Bank of Korea, Seoul
International Bank of Asia Ltd, Hong Kong
Intesa Sanpaolo, Torino
Investec Bank, London
Investec Bank Ltd, Sandown
Investors Bank and Trust Company, Boston
Islandsbanki, Reykjavik
Israel Discount Bank, Tel Aviv
ISS Finans, Copenhagen
ISS Global, Copenhagen
Ixis Corporate & Investment Bank, Paris
Iyo Bank, Tokyo
Jeju Bank, Jeju
Jeonbuk Bank, Seoul
Joh Berenber Gossler Co., Hamburg
Joyo Bank, Tokyo
Juroku Bank, Gifu
Jyske Bank, Silkeborg, Copenhagen
Kas Bank N.V., Amsterdam
Kaupthing Bank Ltd., Luxembourg
Key Bank, Cleveland
Korea Development Bank, Seoul
Korea First Bank, Seoul
Kreditanstalt fur Wiederaufbau, Frankfurt
Kwangju Bank, Seoul
Kyongnam Bank, Masan
La Caixa, Barcelona
La Compagnie de Tresorerie Benjamin de Rothschild, Geneva
Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg, Stuttgart
Landesbank Berlin AG, Berlin
Landesbank Hessen-Thueringen Girozentrale, Frankfurt
Landesbank Saar, Saarbruecken
Laurentian Bank of Canada, Montreal
LGT Bank in Liechtenstein, Vaduz
Liu Chong Hing Bank Limited, Hong Kong
Lloyds TSB Bank, London
Lombard Odier Darier Hentsch and Cie, Geneva
LRP Landesbank Rheinland Pfalz, Mainz
Luzerner Kantonalbank, Lucerne
Macquarie Bank, Sydney
Malayan Banking Berhad (Maybank Singapore), Singapore
Malayan Banking Berhad (Maybank), Kuala Lumper
Man Financial Limited, London
Mashreqbank, Dubai
Merrill Lynch International Bank, London
Merrill Lynch International Bank, New York
Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith, New York
Metzler B. Seel. Sohn und Co., Frankfurt
MKS Finance, Geneva
MM Warburg und Co., Hamburg
Natixis Banques Populaires, Paris
Natixis Captial Market, Paris
National Agricultural Cooperative Federation, Seoul
National Bank of Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi
National City Bank, Cleveland
National Federation of Fisheries Cooperatives, Seoul
Nationwide Building Society, Northampton
Nykredit Bank, Copenhagen
Nedbank, Johannesberg
Nektar Asset Management
New York Clearing Corporation, New York
Nike Australia, Abbotsford
Nike Canada, Thornhill
Nike European Operations, Hilversum
Nike Hong Kong, Kowloon
Nike Inc, Beaverton
Nike International, Beaverton
Nike International Limited, Kowloon
Nike Japan, Tokyo
Nike New Zealand, Auckland
Nike Singapore, Singapore
Nike USA, Beaverton
Nomura International, London, London
Nomura Securities, Tokyo
Norddeutsche Landesbank, Luxembourg
Norddeutsche Landesbank Girozentrale, Hannover
Norddeutsche Landesbank Girozentrale, Singapore
Norddeutsche Landesbank Girozentrale, London
Oberbank, Linz
ODL Securities Ltd, London
Oman International Bank, Muscat
Oppenheim Sal Jr und Cie, Duesseldorf
Oppenheim Sal Jr und Cie, Zurich
Parex Banka, Riga
PB Financial Services Inc, New York
Pictet and Cie, Geneva
Penson Financial Inc., Dallas
PKB Privatbank, Lugano
Privredna Banka Zagreb, Zagreb
Privatbank Ihag Zurich, Zurich
Prudential Bache Global Markets, New York
Prudential Financial Derivatives Llc, New York
Pusan Bank, Seoul
Raiffeisen Landesbank Suedtirol, Bolzano
Raiffeisen Zentralbank, London
Raiffeisen Zentralbank Oesterreich, Vienna
Raiffeisen Zentralbank Oesterreich AG, Singapore
Raiffeisenlandesbank Oberoesterreich, Linz
Raiffeisen-Landesbank Tirol, Innsbruck
Raiffeisenlandesbank Vorarlberg, Bregenz
Rand Financial Services, Inc., Chicago
RBA-Zentralbank, Berne
Refco Capital Markets, New York
Renault Finance, Lausanne
Resona Bank, Tokyo
Ringkjobing Bank, Ringkoebing
Roskilde Bank, Roskilde
Sabanci Bank, London
Sampo Bank, Helsinki
Sanpaolo, Torino
Sanpaolo Bank, Luxembourg
Saraswat Co-Operative Bank Ltd, Mumbai
Saxo Bank, Gentofte
Seng Heng Bank, Macau
Shanghai Commercial Bank Limited, Hong Kong
Shinhan Bank, Seoul
Shinkin Central Bank, Tokyo
Shinsei Bank Ltd, Tokyo
Shizuoka Bank, Shizuoka
Skandia Capital, Stockholm
SKF Treasury, Goteborg
SMBC Capital Markets Inc, New York
South African Reserve Bank, Pretoria
State Bank of India, Calcutta
State Bank of Travancore, Ernakulam
Sucden (UK) Ltd, London
Sunlight, Cham
Swedbank, Stockholm
Swiss Post - Postfinance, Berne
Sydbank, Aabenraa
Syndicate Bank, Mumbai
Tai Fung Bank, Macau
The Bank of Fukuoka., Tokyo
The Bank of Kyoto, Kyoto
The Clearing Corporation, Chicago
The Gunma Bank, Maebashi
The Hiroshima Bank, Tokyo
The Minato Bank, Kobe
The San-In Godo Bank, Matsue
The Shoko Chukin Bank, Tokyo
The Yamanashi Chuo Bank, Kofu
Thurgauer Kantonalbank, Weinfelden
Timber Hill Europe AG, Zug
Top Danmark, Ballerup
Toronto Dominion Bank, London
Toronto Dominion Bank, Toronto
Travelex America Inc., US
Travelex, London
Travelex, Peterborough
Travelex, Sydney
Trust and Custody Services Bank, Tokyo
Unilever, Rotterdam
Union Bancaire Privee, Geneva
Union Bank of Israel, Tel Aviv
Union Bank of Taiwan, Taipei
Unipol Banca, Bologna
United Mizrahi Bank, Tel Aviv
Volvo Treasury, Goteborg
VTB Bank Europe plc., Singapore
Vseobecna Uverova Banka A.S, Bratislava
Wachovia Bank, Charlotte
WestLB, London
WGZ-Bank, Duesseldorf
Winterthur Einzel Treasury, Switzerland
Winterthur Insurance, Switzerland
Winterthur Kollektiv, Switzerland
Winterthur Life and Pensions, Switzerland
Winterthur Market Unit CH Treasury, Switzerland
Woori Bank, Seoul
Yamaguchi Bank Ltd, Tokyo
Yes Bank Ltd., Mumbai

*Investment funds are not listed here and some institutions have asked for their details not to be published. In certain cases some banks, corporates and NBFIs may have multiple locations, branches or subsidiary companies submitting instructions to CLS Bank.


Author: CLS Corporate Communication

Sources used in this article:

http://www.cls-services.com  (various pages)

http://www.citi.com/citigroup/press/2008/080402d.htm

http://www.synthesisbank.com/en/node/593321

Grandpa on the USA Housing Crisis

Tuesday, June 17th, 2008

While many in the world are either worrying about the impending collapse, or gloating about the recession in the US, here’s a new perspective (mostly the observations of a bright friend who from time to time mails things like this out to his list…) who is doing just what he says the last paragraph.

There are about 75,000,000 single-family houses in the US today. A third of these are fully paid and free and clear. That leaves 50,000,000 mortgaged homes. Over half of these properties were been bought pre-2000 at a much lower cost that their current book values. The vast majorities of these owners have either not dipped into their ‘home equity’, or did so early in the housing boom. The vast majority have serviced their mortgages ever since.

That Leaves 20,000,000 mortgages. About three quarters of these are owner-occupier mortgages in the heartland and small town America. The loans are being serviced just fine.

In other words, 5,000,000 houses MIGHT be the sub-prime crisis generators. Of these at least half are investment properties, or vacant properties that were to be “flipped” They will be foreclosed and resold at below market prices resulting in losses for the investors & lenders, but will not result anyone being homeless. That leaves a maximum of 2 million owner occupied homes purchased at grossly inflated prices and with little or nothing down. The buyers knew or should have known that if interest rates went up, or if they lost their jobs, they would have difficulties & would have to go back to where ever they were before they bought a home they couldn’t afford. The vast majority of these troubled properties are in the areas where the housing market was the hottest. States like California, Nevada, Florida as well as a few cities that stood out in other states, such as Houston, Denver, Hot Springs, etc.

Prices in many other cities (Redmont, Boston, New York, Washington, Dallas) are stable… Prices in many smaller cities in the Midwest are actually still rising.

In other words, the ‘banks are writing off’ bad loans to poor risks that should never have been made. The loans were based upon inflated values. They were NOT traditional “75% loan to value” on conservatively appraised properties. Further, the buyers were not qualified to buy. “Sub-prime” always really meant “highly likely to default.”

So, whatever is really going on, a very small percentage [if any] qualified home buyers are involved. There is NO housing or mortgage crisis. Not any more than has happened in previous cyclical property market downturns. These happen with boring regularity every decade or two. Some “hotshot” banks are using the “crisis” as an excuse to write off nonsense securities & senseless loans that they have used for years to inflate their imaginary profits & share prices.
Some stockbrokers, insurers & other firms who securitized & sold these loans to the public & guaranteed them against losses [these are the derivatives people talk about but don't understand!], are of course going bust. They should have known better! But of course anyone who bought or guaranteed “sub-prime” loans was always dealing in “junk” with a high risk of default. Why did they do it? Mostly in return for fabulous fees, commissions or if stupid “investors”, a very suspect, unsustainable, high rate of return. The people involved (on the profit making end) always operate through corporations and thus are immune from any personal liability.

In virtually all the USA foreclosures, the sub-prime home buyer was really stretching to get into a deal. They were people who bought grossly overpriced property, had no savings to cover a year or 2 or payments if things went sour; they were usually paying more than the 25% of income that should be allotted to rent or loan payments. Above all, they were in deals where unless interest rates stayed the same [which they were unlikely to do] and property values went up forever [also unlikely] they would be facing payments & charges they could not afford, i.e. foreclosures.
HOW TO PROFIT FROM THE SITUATION?

Cherry pick among the debris. Surely you’ll find a few a choice location properties at super bargain prices. If you [or your investment corporation] qualifies, you can even get a good fixed rate loan and rent the properties at more than enough to cover your payments. It probably takes sifting through 100+ deals to find one gem. You will need a bit of dough for a down-payment, & more for cosmetic refurbishment. In the background, a business or secure job giving you the income to qualify for any loan you might need.

A friend of mine, Doug Casey,  once told me that in Chinese, the printed character for “Crisis” was the same as for “Opportunity.”  That’s the way to think!  Of course, it’s always best to start a corporation to own your properties and thus, keep your name off the public records for privacy & insulate yourself from any personal liability. For PTs their corporation will probably be “Offshore.”

Why don’t Offshore Banks want business from US residents?

Wednesday, June 11th, 2008

That’s a question I’m frequently asked by my readers and clients.

The answer is “regulatory risk.” It’s simply impossible for most offshore banks to comply with American requirements, while keeping in line with their policies, their local bank secrecy laws, and what their customers want.

Of course it’s not that they don’t want the business. It’s that they simply judge it’s not worth the risk to accept the business.

Fortunately, it’s not too difficult to avoid these restrictions and make sure both client and bank are legally covered. Here are three ways of doing it:

1. The simplest is by using an intermediary entity, like a Panama corporation. You simply open the account in the corporations name and, hey presto! Your investment is no longer American, but Panamanian, so a whole (simpler) set of rules apply. This intermediary entity might not make the slightest difference to your tax liability in the USA, but it makes all the difference for your offshore bank.

2. Have the offshore bank manage your portfolio. This means you are not sending instructions directly from the US. You visit the bank in its home country and leave the bankers in charge of the money. That way there is no way anybody can claim the bank was soliciting American business - again, the bank is covered legally.

3. The third option is to find a small private bank with so few American clients, that they are really not on the US radar. As long as they know you, and your investment is of a reasonable amount (say, over $100,000) they will probably open the account. You still won’t be able to trade US markets, but you will have access to any other world markets. I can make referrals to suitable banks which will accept US citizens if necessary. There are also some issued in my Q Practical Offshore Banking Guide 2008

Canada crackdown on Gold Economy

Saturday, June 7th, 2008

This is interesting. It’s from the Toronto Globe and Mail. Think about the second paragraph:

Canada’s financial intelligence agency warns that criminals may be exploiting Internet-based companies that convert cash into electronic gold, exposing a new front in the international effort to restrict terrorist financing and money laundering.

While other channels of money laundering are successfully being shut down, authorities are increasingly worried about a proliferation of “digital precious metals operators” websites that offer clients a chance to conduct Internet business in units backed by gold and silver rather than paper currencies. 

Well, at least they admit it. They’re worried about the public having the opportunity to conduct business using gold or silver. It is now official Canadian government policy that we should use only debaseable fiat money, backed by nothing more than the full faith and credit of the government (which is bankrupt by most logical standards). You can’t get much blunter than that, can you?  Oh, and of course, it’s for our own protection!

There’s more on this at The Real Deal blog, along with some other interesting Gold and Banking Crisis articles.