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	<title>Offshore Banking, Asset Protection and Gold Blog</title>
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	<description>The Q Wealth Report's offshore banking guru Peter Macfarlane blogs on private banking, IBCs, brokerage accounts and precious metals</description>
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		<title>Consulting Update</title>
		<link>http://www.petermacfarlane.net/2010/08/31/consulting-update/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Aug 2010 17:46:11 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Currencies and Cash]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Welcome to my personal homepage and blog on asset protection, offshore banking and investing issues.
As of today with the help of my assistants I have updated the consultation information here. This has become necessary because of the sheer volume of consultation requests. In the past I have given a lot of my time away for [...]


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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Welcome to my personal homepage and blog on asset protection, offshore banking and investing issues.</p>
<p>As of today with the help of my assistants I have updated the consultation information here. This has become necessary because of the sheer volume of consultation requests. In the past I have given a lot of my time away for free, but this makes sense for nobody and ends up counterproductive. It diverts my time and attention away from serious personal consulting clients. It is unquestionably more efficient for me to charge properly for my time and then be able to dedicate the time necessary to serious clients. My fees are completely transparent and you can now<a title="Consultations" href="http://www.petermacfarlane.net/offshore-consulting-by-peter-macfarlane/" target="_blank"> book and pay for your e-mail or telephone consultation directly online.</a></p>
<p>It&#8217;s encouraging that so many people are getting the message.</p>
<p>First time here? If you are not familiar with my work, please visit <a title="Q Wealth Report" href="http://www.qwealthreport.com/">Q Wealth Report</a> and feel free to <a title="Q Bytes" href="http://www.qwealthreport.com/q_bytes.php" target="_blank">sign up for the free Q Bytes newsletter</a> in order to receive free e-mail news and updates.</p>


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		<title>We are no longer updating this blog</title>
		<link>http://www.petermacfarlane.net/2010/01/06/we-are-no-longer-updating-this-blog/</link>
		<comments>http://www.petermacfarlane.net/2010/01/06/we-are-no-longer-updating-this-blog/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Jan 2010 04:43:00 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Currencies and Cash]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[As you may have noticed, we are no longer updating this blog. The main reason for this decision is that a certain major search engine de-indexed it. We won&#8217;t speculate as to why. But this is like the kiss of death for a blog &#8211; it gets hardly any traffic any more.
Nonetheless, we do still [...]


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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As you may have noticed, we are no longer updating this blog. The main reason for this decision is that a certain major search engine de-indexed it. We won&#8217;t speculate as to why. But this is like the kiss of death for a blog &#8211; it gets hardly any traffic any more.</p>
<p>Nonetheless, we do still get some visitors, so we will continue to leave the archives accessible.</p>
<p>All new material written by Peter is published and updated regularly on the main <a href="http://www.qwealthreport.com">Q Wealth Report</a> site.</p>


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		<link>http://www.petermacfarlane.net/2009/08/10/351/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Aug 2009 06:14:44 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Currencies and Cash]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[By Bud Conrad and David Galland, Editors, The Casey Report
Here at Casey Research, we’ve been watching the actions of foreign holders of U.S. dollars as closely as a Las Vegas pit boss watches a card player on a $1 million winning streak.
Many of those in the deflation camp largely, or entirely, ignore the potential role [...]


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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By Bud Conrad and David Galland, Editors, The Casey Report</p>
<p>Here at Casey Research, we’ve been watching the actions of foreign holders of U.S. dollars as closely as a Las Vegas pit boss watches a card player on a $1 million winning streak.</p>
<p>Many of those in the deflation camp largely, or entirely, ignore the potential role these foreign holders may play in the drama now unfolding. But in fact, foreigners have, over the last decade, been by far the single most important source of buying for U.S. Treasuries.</p>
<p>Given the Treasury’s need to flog on the order of $3 trillion worth of its unbacked paper this year just to keep the government’s doors open – and that is a four- or fivefold increase over 2008 – the foreign buyers not only have to show up for the Treasury auctions, they have to show up in droves.</p>
<p>In mid-July, the Associated Press reported that “Foreign demand for long-term U.S. financial assets dropped by the largest amount in four months in May, as Japan and Russia trimmed their holdings of Treasury securities . . . foreigners actually sold $19.8 billion more long-term U.S. securities than they purchased in May. That compared with net purchases of $11.5 billion in April.”</p>
<p>Below you see the big picture of all cross-border flows in May as published by the U.S. Treasury. It shows both foreign investment in the U.S. and U.S. investment abroad. It includes Treasuries, agencies, corporate bonds, equities, and short-term instruments like T-bills. Foreigners bought a lot of T-bills when the credit crisis became acute.</p>
<p>Your browser may not support display of this image.</p>
<p>This should be a serious situation with a big drop in foreign investible funds for meeting U.S. borrowing needs. The borrowing by households and business has dropped close to zero, decreasing demand, while government borrowing has jumped but is still smaller than the private borrowing drop. The Fed has added some lending.</p>
<p>A look at just the longer-term Securities (not T-bills) is even more convincing of the slowing of lending by foreigners:</p>
<p>Your browser may not support display of this image.</p>
<p>This decrease in credit should pressure rates higher.</p>
<p>And here is the breakdown of foreign investment into the U.S. Foreigners only continued to buy Treasuries, shunning new investment and selling off agencies in the riskier real estate market.</p>
<p>Your browser may not support display of this image.</p>
<p>It’s not for nothing that the Goldman Sachs Secretary of the Treasury Timothy Geithner is hotfooting it around the world lately, last week to Saudi Arabia and the UAE… last month to China.</p>
<p>The purpose of his trip, Geithner told reporters in Paris, he was doing this tour ”to make sure we keep working with governments around the world to continue to provide enough support to lift this global economy back to a sustained pattern of growth.&#8221;</p>
<p>Translation: Look here, we’re all in this together. If you jump ship now, we’re all doomed… DOOMED, I say!</p>
<p>But the fact remains that the foreign holders of U.S. dollars have it within their ability – either deliberately or inadvertently as the result of a panic setting in – to literally destroy the U.S. currency.</p>
<p>The latest report shows Russia and longtime monetary ally Japan edging toward the door. China and the oil-exporting nations continue to convert an increasingly moderate amount of their trade surplus into Treasury bills – but not on a nearly large enough scale to meet the inflated (and inflating) borrowing needs of the utterly bankrupt U.S. government. And how long will they continue to show up, when an increasing number of other foreign buyers start selling their Treasuries? No one likes to be the last one to leave a party, especially when the bananas flambé has tipped over on the floor and the curtains are on fire.</p>
<p>Put simply, the only thing now standing between the U.S. dollar holding its own and an almost overnight debasement (and history has shown us that when things go wrong with a currency, they can go wrong very quickly) is the willingness of foreigners to play nice. This was never a threat that the Japanese had to deal with during the worst of their recent dark days, but it’s a very real risk here and now in the United States.</p>
<p>That that risk sits on top of the monetary inflation that has been the steady response of the U.S. government so far –  and will continue to be its response as the economy further erodes – is not something to be sniffed at.</p>
<p>On July 17, Bloomberg reported that “China’s finance ministry failed to meet its debt-sale target for a third time in two weeks at a 182-day bill sale, according to traders at Galaxy Securities Co. and China Citic Bank in Beijing. The ministry had tried to sell 20 billion yuan of bills and only sold 18.51 billion yuan, traders said. The average yield for the bills sold was 1.6011 percent, they said.”</p>
<p>Here’s our take on this news item: The problem from the Chinese government&#8217;s point of view is that they were not able to borrow as much money as they wanted, in the light that they are now spending at a very fast clip with a big stimulus program to keep their own economy (bubble?) growing. So how can they fund the spending? They can sell off the stash of foreign-currency-denominated holdings they are sitting on. That could mean Treasuries dumped on the world market.</p>
<p>There are other alternatives, like getting the People&#8217;s Bank of China to print up some new money for the government, which would inflate the renminbi (RMB) and decrease its international price and attractiveness. They might like to let the RMB fall to encourage exports and keep relative worker pay low on the world competitive scene. But they are also trying to make the RMB a world currency by itself, so they don&#8217;t want it to look weak and at risk.</p>
<p>Our guess is that they are selling Treasuries and not telling.</p>
<p>[Ed. Note: In latest news this week, Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao said China “will use its foreign exchange reserves to support and accelerate overseas expansions and acquisitions by Chinese companies.” Jiabao called it China’s “going out” strategy. Going out (with a bang), though, may be a better description of what the U.S. will ultimately do.]</p>
<p>This is what<em><strong> The Casey Report</strong></em>, Casey Research’s flagship publication, does: spotting budding trends in the economy and the markets, and then devising ways to profit from them. A strategy that – as thousands of happy subscribers can vouch for – is paying off&#8230; and paying off big. Right now, one of our favorite plays, and surest bets, on the economic quagmire we’re in is an investment that is almost guaranteed to be a winner. Let Casey Chief Economist Bud Conrad tell you all about it in his free report.<a title="Casey Research" href="http://www.caseyresearch.com/crpmkt/crpSolo.php?id=144&amp;ppref=QWR144ED0709B" target="_blank"> Click here to learn more.</a></p>


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		<title>Is Natural Gas Undervalued?</title>
		<link>http://www.petermacfarlane.net/2009/07/23/is-natural-gas-undervalued/</link>
		<comments>http://www.petermacfarlane.net/2009/07/23/is-natural-gas-undervalued/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Jul 2009 22:35:10 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[As I know many of our offshore investor readers have interests in Petroleum and Natural Gas, I thought the following guest post by David Galland, of Casey Researchwould be interesting. By the way, Casey have recently done a big makeover on their portfolio of investment research services. You might want to take a look &#8211; [...]


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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>As I know many of our offshore investor readers have interests in Petroleum and Natural Gas, I thought the following guest post by David Galland, of Casey Researchwould be interesting. By the way, Casey have recently done a big makeover on their portfolio of investment research services. You might want to take a look &#8211; the link is at the bottom of this post.</em></p>
<p>At the height of its late 2005 rally, natural gas in the U.S. was selling for just over $16/MMBtu, 350% higher than today&#8217;s price of $3.56. The oil/gas ratio, now over 18, is an all-time high&#8230; suggesting that natural gas is dirt cheap. So, it&#8217;s a buy, right?</p>
<p>In a phrase, not exactly.</p>
<p>According to a recent report by Natural Gas Intelligence, U.S. natural gas available for production &#8220;has jumped 58% in the past four years, driven by improved drilling techniques and the discovery of huge shale fields in Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas and Pennsylvania, according to a report issued Thursday by the nonprofit Potential Gas Committee (PGC).&#8221;</p>
<p>According to the report, the increase in gas discoveries and production improvements means that North America shouldn&#8217;t have to be concerned about gas supplies for up to 100 years!</p>
<p>Dr. Marc Bustin provided an overview of the situation in the May edition of Casey Energy Opportunities.</p>
<p>In the United States, the tremendous growth in natural gas resources and estimated recoverable natural gas, particularly from gas shales, just in the last two years (Figure 1) is sending tremors through the entire industry. These tremors include the risk of making obsolete the proposed $26 billion Alaskan and $16 billion northern Canadian pipelines to tap northern gas resources and a slue of proposed LNG terminals&#8230; unless they are for export!</p>
<p>The numbers currently kicked around are that something around 2,000 trillion cubic feet of gas are technically recoverable in the United States. At current production rates, this supply would last about 90 years.</p>
<p>Some analysts are predicting that even if the U.S. economy recovers in the next year, the amount of gas discovered to date in gas shales will severely dampen any increase in gas price for some time. According to a new study by energy consulting firm CERA (Cambridge Energy Research Associates), new technologies for unconventional gas fields are being applied so successfully that supply is essentially no longer a driver in either production or price in the North American gas market &#8211; whatever the market wants, North American gas fields can supply. CERA reports that natural gas production in the Lower 48 states has risen a startling 14% from 2007 to 2008, for example.</p>
<p>Your browser may not support display of this image.</p>
<p>Figure 1. Major shale areas or formations in the U.S. and the estimated recoverable natural gas in 2006 and 2008. Modified from Daily Oil Bulletin (May 4, 2009).<br />
Given the increase in production and the small slide in demand, the price of natural gas has fallen to around $3.50-$4.00 per MMBtu (down from $13 per MMBtu last summer). At these prices, many gas prospects are uneconomic, and thus there has been a marked decline in the number of wells being drilled. Rig activity (how many rigs are operating) is down about 50% in North America.</p>
<p>But here is where an interesting feedback mechanism kicks in. One of the characteristics of unconventional shale gas wells, and to a lesser extent natural gas wells in general, is that the production rate declines through time. Most shale wells&#8217; production rates decline 60 to 90% in the first year. If you were a gas company trying to survive amidst today&#8217;s low prices, the rate of return on your capital investment would also be painfully low for a significant amount of gas if this were your initial year of production.</p>
<p>Another complementary fact is that over 50% of natural gas consumed in the United States today is from wells drilled less than three years ago, and 25-30% of the gas produced today comes from wells drilled last year (Figure 2).</p>
<p>Hence it follows that if there are 50% fewer wells drilled this year (from the drop in rig activity), new production will decline about 35-40% by the end of the year, so there will be gas shortages. Those will in turn lead to higher North American prices, which in turn should lead to additional drilling.</p>
<p>Your browser may not support display of this image.</p>
<p>Figure 2. Historical gas production in the U.S. showing the percentage of production from vintage of well (modified from Chesapeake April 2009 Investor presentation from original data of HIS Energy)<br />
Everything else being equal (which it&#8217;s not, this being the real, not the mathematical world), gas prices and drilling will see-saw until an equilibrium is reached. In detail, of course, things are more complicated, but it is pretty clear that gas prices will have to rise within the year, and the big losers will remain the more expensive plays that require higher gas prices to be economic.</p>
<p>Where will the gas price end up in the short term? A poll of analysts by Reuters suggests $6 MMBtu in 2010 (Daily Oil Bulletin, May 4, 2009), but I don&#8217;t think I would bet on a gas price based on a vote by analysts. At the same time, it&#8217;s an interesting coincidence (or not &#8211; coincidence, that is) that many prospects become economic at around the $6 MMBtu range. Among them are the Haynesville and Marcellus shales &#8211; and it&#8217;s no large leap from there to see their tremendous gas production potential acting as a buffer to gas prices going much higher in the near term.</p>
<p>Thus, while there may be some seasonal and relatively short-term trading opportunities in natural gas, the overhang of ready supply places a fairly firm cap on the price. Which begs the question, which big-trend energy opportunities should be getting our attention today?</p>
<p>Marin Katusa, who heads the Casey Research energy team, answers the question by, correctly, cataloging the opportunities according to geography.<br />
In North America<br />
1. Geothermal &#8212; the most interesting of the alternative energy sources, by a wide margin.</p>
<p>2. Nuclear.<br />
3. Oil.</p>
<p>In Europe</p>
<p>1. Unconventional gas has, by far, the most upside.<br />
2. Unconventional oil.<br />
3. Small hydro (such as run of river).</p>
<p>In Africa</p>
<p>First and foremost, you want to avoid infrastructure plays (pipelines, refineries, etc). Then you want to look for areas with huge oil potential, which have been held off the market by concerns over political risk. I like what Lukas Lundin is doing in Ethiopia, Somalia, and Kenya, hunting for &#8220;elephants&#8221; with the idea of eventually selling the discoveries off to the Chinese.<br />
In Asia,<br />
1. Liquid Natural Gas (LNG)</p>
<p>2. Coal Bed Methane (CBM)</p>
<p>Lessons to Learn</p>
<p>There are a couple of useful lessons to be derived by investors looking to tap into the virtually unlimited opportunities in energy.</p>
<p>First, just because something is &#8220;cheap&#8221; doesn&#8217;t mean it can&#8217;t stay cheap, regardless of historical ratios &#8212; if there has been a fundamental shift in the supply/demand equation. Which is very much the case with North American natural gas.</p>
<p>Secondly, geological and transport considerations make much of the energy complex a &#8220;local&#8221; market.</p>
<p>For example, while North America enjoys an abundance of natural gas, Europe is forced to rely on the heavy-handed Russians for the bulk of supplies. As you read this, there are companies looking to break the Russian grip by applying  the same unconventional gas technologies that have so successfully built gas supplies in the U.S. &#8212; technologies that are only just now being applied in Europe. Early investors could reap huge profits.</p>
<p>In short, the real opportunities are not found by simply &#8220;investing in energy&#8221; but rather by taking the time to understand the structural differences within the energy complex and cherry picking the special situations that invariably exist in a sector this large.</p>
<p><em>David Galland is the managing director of Casey Research, LLC., a private research firm providing independent analysis and investment recommendations to individual and institutional investors in North America and over 100 other countries around the globe. <a href="http://www.caseyresearch.com/casey-services/casey-energy-opportunities?ppref=QWR002ED0709A">To learn more about the monthly Casey Energy Opportunities advisory, including a special three-month, fully guaranteed trial subscription, click here now. </a></em></p>


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		<title>Warning about New Zealand Financial Institutions</title>
		<link>http://www.petermacfarlane.net/2009/07/01/warning-about-new-zealand-financial-institutions/</link>
		<comments>http://www.petermacfarlane.net/2009/07/01/warning-about-new-zealand-financial-institutions/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Jul 2009 18:31:55 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Although we are generally very positive about New Zealand as an offshore financial centre (I particularly like New Zealand trusts for Asset Protection planning) we are becoming slightly concerned about the way it is being used by some parties. We&#8217;ve recently warned on the Q Wealth blog and elsewhere about Hatfield Oak International. And there [...]


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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Although we are generally very positive about New Zealand as an offshore financial centre (I particularly like New Zealand trusts for Asset Protection planning) we are becoming slightly concerned about the way it is being used by some parties. We&#8217;ve recently warned on the Q Wealth blog and elsewhere about <a title="Hatfield Oak International at Talkgold" href="http://www.talkgold.com/forum/showthread.php?t=168831&amp;page=3" target="_blank">Hatfield Oak International.</a> And there are numerous other companies out there doing similar things.</p>
<p>The following was received from a reputable incorporator in New Zealand with whom we have worked for some years&#8230; and I quote:</p>
<p>Several other companies providing NZ incorporations by misleading people into thinking that the company has been set up in a legally tax free way. In some cases there are breaches of the Companies Act apparent where an Auditor has not been appointed (even though foreign ownership is greater than the 24% level). In other cases <strong>clients are being sold ordinary companies with no Constitution as being Financial Institutions.</strong> We see incorrect name usage. We see websites making false claims on Licensing. We see an Asian company making false residence claims in connection with Registered Office and place for service of documents. We have recently been contacted by a number of professional clients who are asking to change these companies to our services as they have learned that they were in breach of NZ regulations.</p>
<p>Unfortunately, we are not able to take on most of these companies as to do so would be very dangerous to our business and existing clients. The best that we can do is to form a new company with a similar name and transfer the assets / business of the former company to the new company. We are also concerned that breaches of the current regulations will force a review of the regulations with good clients having to contend with greater compliance (and costs arising). If we can see these obvious breaches without going looking for them we are sure that the Authorities will also have seen them.</p>
<p>So, if you want to put your money in one of these unlicensed New Zealand financial institutions, don&#8217;t say that Peter Mac didn&#8217;t warn you&#8230;!</p>


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		<title>Short the Dollar for Offshore Profits</title>
		<link>http://www.petermacfarlane.net/2009/06/24/short-the-dollar-for-offshore-profits/</link>
		<comments>http://www.petermacfarlane.net/2009/06/24/short-the-dollar-for-offshore-profits/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Jun 2009 21:14:25 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Here&#8217;s an interesting guest contribution from Money Morning&#8217;s Investment Director Keith Fitz-Gerald, about how to protect yourself from the ravages of inflation. Of course I don&#8217;t agree with everything Keith says below &#8211; you know how big I am on Gold in particular &#8211; but I always believe in offering readers differing opinions. And I [...]


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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here&#8217;s an interesting guest contribution from <em>Money Morning&#8217;s </em>Investment Director Keith Fitz-Gerald, about how to protect yourself from the ravages of inflation. Of course I don&#8217;t agree with everything Keith says below &#8211; you know how big I am on Gold in particular &#8211; but I always believe in offering readers differing opinions. And I do agree that shorting the dollar is a great idea. Everything recommended below you can do through <a title="offshore brokerage accounts panama" href="http://www.dobusinessinpanama.com/panama-brokerage-accounts/" target="_blank">Offshore Brokerage Accounts.</a></p>
<p>In fact, we sent out a special mailing recently to <a href="http://www.qwealthreport.com">Q Bytes</a> readers because &#8211; as someone commented just today &#8211; there are a lot of people out there trying to sell investment tips for hefty fees&#8230; but few of them really come through. Keith is different, and his track record speaks for itself:<strong></strong></p>
<blockquote><p><strong>Since launching his </strong><strong><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><a href="http://partners.moneymorningaffiliates.com/z/351/CD24/">Geiger Index</a></span></em></strong><em><strong> </strong></em><strong>trading  service late last year, <em>Money Morning</em> Investment Director Keith Fitz-Gerald is a perfect 14 for 14, meaning he&#8217;s closed every single one of his trades at a profit. And he did this in the face of one of the most-volatile periods since the Great Depression. Fitz-Gerald says the ongoing financial crisis has changed the investing game forever, and has created a completely new set of rules that investors must understand to survive and profit in this new era. Check out our latest insights on these new rules, this new market environment, and this new service, the <em><a href="http://partners.moneymorningaffiliates.com/z/351/CD24/">Geiger Index</a></em>.</strong></p></blockquote>
<p>Here&#8217;s what Keith has to say&#8230;</p>
<p>Right now, there&#8217;s more than $9.5 trillion in cash on the sidelines &#8211; or more than twice the amount of money currently invested in stock mutual funds, according to <strong><em>MoneyNet.inc</em></strong> and the U.S. Federal Reserve. Private equity firms alone are believed to hold  as much as an additional $1.3 trillion.</p>
<p>While I&#8217;ve always doubted that the &#8220;money on the sidelines&#8221; argument is really all it&#8217;s cracked up to be, one can hardly argue with a recently released report from <a href="https://www4.harrisbank.com/wealth/0%2C4928%2C62610052_62617540%2C00.html">Harris  Private Bank</a> of Chicago [part of the U.S. arm of the Bank of Montreal  (NYSE: <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ABMO">BMO</a>) that notes that stocks have rallied for the next two years whenever money market assets have exceeded 25% of the capitalization of the <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=INDEXSP:.INX">Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s 500  Index</a>. According to the <strong><em>Los Angeles Times</em></strong>, <a href="http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/money_co/2009/06/besides-the-moderating-recession-what-gets-wall-street-bulls-excited-these-days-is-talking-about-the-mountain-of-cash-sittin.html">that  figure is now 43%, down from 58% after having peaked in December</a> &#8211; and  that&#8217;s even after the 30%-plus run-up in the S&amp;P 500 since March.</p>
<p>What&#8217;s interesting is that many investors holding large cash positions view their money as an asset, when, ironically, it&#8217;s really more of a liability at this stage of the game.<br />
Some might take issue with that  statement. After all, even we at <strong><em>Money Morning</em></strong> have counseled readers that cash &#8211; correctly deployed &#8211; can allow an investor to sidestep the worst stretches of a financial crisis, like the one from which we&#8217;re currently attempting to extricate ourselves.</p>
<p>But when the markets are as beat up as they as they have been, history suggests there&#8217;s probably more upside than downside &#8211; even if we haven&#8217;t bottomed out yet.<br />
And there&#8217;s a broad body of  research to support that contention &#8211; including our own newly created &#8220;<strong>LSV (<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LIBOR">LIBOR</a>/Sentiment/Value) Index&#8221;</strong> (published as a part of <strong><em>The Money Map Report</em></strong>, <a href="http://www.oxfonline.com/MMR/MMRBull0609.html?pub=MMR&amp;code=EMMRK614">the  monthly investment newsletter</a> that&#8217;s affiliated with <strong><em>Money Morning</em></strong>).</p>
<p>There&#8217;s also data sets widely  published by others, such as <a href="http://www.econ.yale.edu/%7Eshiller/">Yale  Economics Professor Robert J. Shiller</a>. Shiller has found that when you look at 10-year periods of Price/Earnings (P/E) data dating all the way back to 1871, the markets tend to rise when the average P/E is low, as it is right now. Conversely, when the average Price/Earnings values are high &#8211; as they were in late 1999, and again in 2007 &#8211; a decline in stock prices is much more likely.</p>
<p>There are obviously no guarantees that history will repeat itself. But if it does, the same data implies we could see real returns of 10% a year or more &#8220;<a href="http://www.kiplinger.com/magazine/archives/2009/06/interview-with-robert-shiller.html">for  years to come</a>,&#8221; as Shiller noted in a recent interview with <strong><em>Kiplinger&#8217;s  Personal Finance</em></strong>.</p>
<p>My own research seconds the general-market-increase theory, but I&#8217;m much more conservative in my expectations of returns and think that returns of 7% are more likely.</p>
<p>Perhaps what&#8217;s more important right now is that inflation typically accompanies growth &#8211; and with a vengeance. And that means that investors who are sitting on cash &#8220;until the time is right&#8221; may have their hearts in the right place but are relying on the wrong protection strategy.</p>
<p>My recommendation is a four-part plan that can help lock in the expected returns you want, while also protecting your cash from the ravages of inflation. Let&#8217;s take a close look at each of the four elements of this strategy:</p>
<ul>
<li>First, protect your cash  with <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/03/05/if-you-want-to-use-tips-to-beat-inflation-follow-these-tips/">Treasury  Inflation Protected Securities</a> (TIPs). Even though the trillions of dollars the Fed has injected into the system seem to be having some effect on the critically ill patient the U.S. central bank is trying to fix, we&#8217;re likely to pay a terrible price in the future. Forget the hyperinflation scenario so many people are hyping at the moment. While that&#8217;s certainly possible, it&#8217;s not probable. However, what is likely is a dramatic realignment of the dollar and a general increase in worldwide living expenses.</li>
</ul>
<p>If you&#8217;re based in the United States and have mostly U.S. assets, you may want to consider something as simple as the iShares Barclays TIPS Bond Fund (NYSE: <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:TIP">TIP</a>) to offset this risk. The TIP portfolio is chocked full of inflation-indexed securities, but it also offers a healthy 7.46% yield. If you&#8217;ve got international exposure, you may also want to consider the SPDR DB International Government Inflation Protected Bond ETF (NYSE: <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:WIP">WIP</a>). It&#8217;s a collection of internationally diversified government inflation indexed bonds that provides similar protection. Make sure you talk with your tax advisor about both, though. Depending on your tax situation, you may find that because of the tax liability on inflation-related accretion, these are generally best held in tax-exempt accounts.</p>
<ul>
<li>Own some <a href="http://www.goldsilverinvestments.com" target="_blank">gold</a> but don&#8217;t go crazy. Despite widespread belief to the contrary, gold has never been statistically proven as an inflation hedge. But the yellow metal has proven to be a great crisis hedge because of the 10:1 relationship between gold prices and bond coupon rates &#8211; which obviously are directly related to inflation. Over time, the two move in such a way that having $1 for every $9 in bond principal can help immunize the value of your bond portfolio.</li>
</ul>
<p>So to the extent that you own gold, do so not because you expect it to rise sharply, but because it will offset the inflationary damage to your bonds. A good place to start is the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=gld">GLD</a>) because it&#8217;s tied directly to the underlying asset without the hassles or risks of direct personal storage associated with bullion.</p>
<ul>
<li>Consider commodities. It&#8217;s too early to tell if the so-called &#8220;green shoots&#8221; that everybody is so excited about are little more than weeds. Therefore, it makes sense to concentrate on picking up resource-based investments. History shows that these things are less susceptible to downturns, but more importantly, rise at rates that far exceed inflation when a recovery begins in earnest.</li>
</ul>
<p>I  prefer companies like Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP (NYSE: <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=kmp">KMP</a>) that are less dependent on the underlying cost of energy than they are on actual growth in demand. That way, if energy prices don&#8217;t take off immediately for reasons related to deflation or stagflation, those still will benefit from demand growth. It&#8217;s a fine point, but one that merits attention for serious investors. KMP, incidentally, yields an appealing 8.68% at the moment.</p>
<ul>
<li>Short the dollar to hedge your bets still further. Not only is the government going to borrow nearly four times more than it did last year, but when you add the complete federal fiscal obligations into the picture, our government owes nearly $14 trillion. This makes the dollar, as legendary investor Jim Rogers put it, &#8220;a terribly flawed currency&#8221; that could fail at any time.</li>
</ul>
<p>To  ensure you&#8217;re at least partially protected, consider the PowerShares DB U.S.  Dollar Index Bearish Fund (NYSE: <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=UDN">UDN</a>), which will rise as the dollar falls. It&#8217;s essentially one big dollar short against the European euro, the Japanese yen, the British pound sterling and the Norwegian kroner, among other currencies.<br />
In closing, there is one additional point to consider. You rarely get a second chance to do anything, especially when it comes to investing. So act now before the markets make it cost-prohibitive to protect yourself. When the economic recovery gets here, you&#8217;ll be glad you did.</p>
<p>Peter here again: Well, I hope this helps, and will be back soon with further offshore banking news.</p>
<p>From somewhere offshore!</p>
<p>Peter Macfarlane</p>


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		<title>S.O.S.: Swiss Offshore Storage</title>
		<link>http://www.petermacfarlane.net/2009/06/22/sos-swiss-offshore-storage/</link>
		<comments>http://www.petermacfarlane.net/2009/06/22/sos-swiss-offshore-storage/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Jun 2009 18:28:20 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Currencies and Cash]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gold storage switzerland]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[offshore gold storage]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[The article below was recently provided to us by the team of Big Gold at Casey Research. They are offering a free report on offshore gold storage to all our readers. I&#8217;ve checked out the report and it is well worth the price :) In fact, it&#8217;s worth a lot more, so considering it&#8217;s free, [...]


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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The article below was recently provided to us by the team of Big Gold at Casey Research. They are offering a<strong> <a title="Switzerland Report" href="http://www.caseyresearch.com/crpmkt/swiss.php?ppref=QWR059ED0609A" target="_blank">free report on offshore gold storage</a> </strong>to all our readers. I&#8217;ve checked out the report and it is well worth the price :) In fact, it&#8217;s worth a lot more, so considering it&#8217;s free, I would recommend signing up for it!</p>
<p><em><strong>This article also considers the stability of Swiss banks and the exposure of Switzerland and the Swiss Francs to Eastern Europe, another topic we have touched on previously&#8230;</strong></em></p>
<p>At Casey Research, our task is to accurately forecast trends, do it early, and help investors profit from what we&#8217;ve found. Without claiming infallibility, we&#8217;ve gotten it right more often than not, and by distinctly profitable margins.</p>
<p>But research to anticipate what to expect is the easy part. It&#8217;s the when-to-expect-it-to-happen that&#8217;s tricky, and waiting for a predicted trend change or crisis sometimes can test our confidence. The crisis we warned about years ago is now here, and its arrival has altered many of the rules for investing.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re reading this report, you probably followed our earlier advice and have accumulated a nice-size crisis insurance policy in the form of physical gold. Now you need to decide what to do with that stash of Midas cash. It may have been born in a corner of your sock drawer, but perhaps now it&#8217;s stress-testing an attic rafter. Unlike gold ETFs and mining shares resting digitally in your brokerage account, physical gold brings with it questions of space and place: how and where to store it.</p>
<p>As to the how, the most common methods for storing physical gold will be obvious to most investors: concealment, a home safe, or a bank safe deposit box. In BIG GOLD, we recommended using a home safe because 1) it keeps the gold under your immediate control, and 2) it eliminates any risk that storage at a bank carries: emergencies don&#8217;t schedule themselves bankers&#8217; hours; if a &#8220;bank holiday&#8221; occurs, access to a safe deposit box will be lost when it&#8217;s needed most; and a court can order the seizure of its contents, or the IRS can freeze your assets.</p>
<p>So that&#8217;s it? A one-size-fits-all storage solution?</p>
<p>No, not quite.</p>
<p>As your gold holdings grow, or if you already own sizable weight or are considering a large purchase, keeping all your golden eggs in one steel-and-combination-lock basket may not be the right solution. As we encourage above, having some gold in your immediate control assures that you can see yourself and your family through any calamity. Now ask yourself: can I keep a secret and not discuss it with anyone? Loose lips can only lead to a late-night, ski-mask-clad, armed visitation. How about the &#8220;security&#8221; company that installed the safe &#8211; how tight are their lips?</p>
<p>Further, keeping large amounts of gold in your possession exposes you to a latent threat: political risk. Or in ‘round the water cooler jargon, a &#8220;government gold grab.&#8221;</p>
<p>Think it won&#8217;t happen in the good ol&#8217; U.S. of A.? Consider the surge of government pushiness over just the past six months. The U.S. government has usurped the free market by subsidizing entire industries and embarking on mega-dollar &#8220;stimulus&#8221; spending schemes, committing trillions to its efforts &#8211; money it doesn&#8217;t have and must borrow or print. With tax receipts falling off and government debt exploding, the government&#8217;s hunt for revenue could lead to increasingly desperate measures.</p>
<p>We&#8217;ve seen the 1933 black-and-white version of this script, in which the plot develops into a presidential diktat forcing delivery (confiscation) of gold owned by private citizens to the government in exchange for compensation at the price it finds most convenient. Will the temptation again prove too great? We don&#8217;t know. What we do know is that once the credits roll, it&#8217;s too late to start preparing.</p>
<p>So the final storage question must be confronted: where should your gold be stored?</p>
<p>Sending Out an SOS: Swiss Offshore Storage</p>
<p>One fundamental rule of investing that hasn&#8217;t changed is diversification, and the principle applies to the locations you choose for storing gold bullion. Follow the principle where it leads, and you find yourself thinking about &#8220;internationalizing&#8221; your gold by holding some of it in another country. But it should be the right country.</p>
<p>So exactly where is where?</p>
<p>The answer is the safest country with the most secure facilities: Switzerland. Yes, still Switzerland.</p>
<p>For our money, er, gold, we can&#8217;t think of a country with a stronger legacy of respect for private property. The country traces its formation back to 1291, and the first Swiss Confederation was formed in 1353. Complete independence came in 1648, when the Treaty of Westphalia recognized the final separation of Switzerland from the Habsburg Empire. Over the 361 years following the treaty, Switzerland has maintained its neutrality and shunned foreign military entanglements. Now that&#8217;s shock and awe.</p>
<p>The country&#8217;s domestic politics are characterized by stable, non-intrusive coalition governments. Such habitual civility, together with Switzerland&#8217;s long tradition of respect for individual privacy, has kept this small, largely alpine country atop the list of the world&#8217;s most trusted safe havens.</p>
<p>The Franc: Swiss Hit or Swiss Miss</p>
<p>The global financial and economic crisis has recently found its way into Eastern Europe, and the troubles brewing there center on the Swiss franc. The apparently dire situation led economist Arthur P. Schmidt to predict that Eastern Europe&#8217;s difficulties would pour over disastrously into Switzerland. His predictions grabbed the headlines and a bit of attention.</p>
<p>So, in keeping with the Casey, &#8220;Intensely Curious, Focused on Facts,&#8221; we dug behind the headlines. Here&#8217;s the big nothing we found.</p>
<p>Engaging in a carry-trade-like gamble, individuals and businesses in Poland, Ukraine, Croatia, Hungary, Latvia, and Belarus borrowed heavily in Swiss francs, attracted by low interest rates. They crossed their fingers for trouble-free repayment as, for a while, their currencies strengthened against the franc. But that strength didn&#8217;t last. The global economic slowdown hit Eastern Europe hard, and their currencies fell sharply against the Swiss franc, turning mortgages and other franc-denominated debts into horrible burdens. Said fingers are now doing a lot of pointing at who&#8217;s to blame. The size of the problem, according to Schmidt, is 230 billion Swiss francs (US$200 billion), and the difficulty of collecting on the loans supposedly threatens Swiss banks with huge losses that could bankrupt the country. Schmidt refers to Iceland&#8217;s recent national bankruptcy as a model.</p>
<p>We don&#8217;t blame him for trying, but the report incorrectly assumes that all the Swiss franc loans to Eastern Europe originated at Swiss banks. They didn&#8217;t. In fact, it&#8217;s Austria&#8217;s banks that have the greatest exposure to Eastern Europe. The day after the headlines, Credit Suisse released a report citing the latest figures from the Swiss National Bank that show Swiss bank loans to Eastern Europe totaled just SF33 billion (US$28.7B), or 6% of Switzerland&#8217;s GDP. In contrast, Iceland&#8217;s banks had lent over 1,000% of GDP.</p>
<p>Our conclusion: we see no evidence of an impending banking crisis or national bankruptcy in Switzerland. Heidi is safe.</p>
<p><a title="Switzerland Report" href="http://www.caseyresearch.com/crpmkt/swiss.php?ppref=QWR059ED0609A" target="_blank"><em><strong>To read the full report and learn all about Swiss specialist depositories, click here.</strong></em></a></p>


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		<title>UK Tax Freedom Day</title>
		<link>http://www.petermacfarlane.net/2009/06/02/uk-tax-freedom-day/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Jun 2009 00:35:46 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Banks and banking offshore]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[unfair taxation]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Today, June 2nd, is Tax Freedom Day in the UK. Tax Freedom Day is the day on which we stop working for the Chancellor and start working for ourselves. So if the average person works from the first of January each year, it will be June before they have earned enough to pay their taxes.
Every [...]


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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today, June 2nd, is Tax Freedom Day in the UK. Tax Freedom Day is the day on which we stop working for the Chancellor and start working for ourselves. So if the average person works from the first of January each year, it will be June before they have earned enough to pay their taxes.</p>
<p>Every major country has its Tax Freedom Day, usually calculated by free marketeers who are still resident there and thoroughly annoyed at having to pay so much tax. <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tax_Freedom_Day" target="_blank">Tax Freedom Day is defined by Wikipedia</a> as &#8220;the first day of the year in which a nation as a whole has theoretically earned enough income to fund its annual tax burden.&#8221;  All taxes are included in the calculations, not just income tax. In recent years governments have introduced many so-called stealth taxes.</p>
<p><em><strong>One thing that is not included in the calculation, however, is the ultimate stealth tax &#8211; inflation!</strong></em> And devaluation (The many Brits who own second homes abroad will certainly know what I am talking about here! No economics training required!)</p>
<p>Fortunately, all this only concerns me in passing. Although I was born a Brit, I&#8217;m no longer in the UK. Haven&#8217;t been for years. Like all UK non-residents, I am not obliged to file a tax return unless I happen to have income in the UK. The same deal applies to citizens of every other country in the world, with one big exception: the USA.</p>
<p>US citizens are required to file tax returns with the IRS wherever they happen to live in the world. Even Americans, however, get the benefit of a complete exemption on the first $85,000 of earned income each year. Not bad for starters. So even Americans can &#8211; by using offshore corporate structures, trusts, foundations and the like &#8211; pretty much avoid all taxes legally by moving offshore.</p>
<p>There are lots of reasons in this day and age to go offshore which have nothing to do with taxes. I am very fond of telling socialists I meet that most of my clients these days go offshore for reasons that have nothing to do with taxes.  They end up having to agree with me, because they too are sick of big corporations and governments taking away our freedom, privacy and civil rights.</p>
<p>When you make that move to become an expat and start to receive your income through an offshore company, you simplify your life so much. No need to waste time keeping records of expenses and tax deductions. The simplicity of working for money, then keeping it, no questions asked, feels like an incredible burden being lifted off your shoulders. If you haven&#8217;t tried it yet, you really should! You will enjoy it.</p>
<p>The good thing, though, is that the news is out. You can opt out of unfair taxation. The number of people who are <strong>opting out of the tax system altogether</strong>, simply by going to live &#8211; at least part time &#8211; in a country where they can legally carry on their lives and businesses without paying tax. Examples of these countries would be Panama and Belize, amongst others. You can read more about both Panama and Belize, as well as other personal tax-free residence havens, by browsing this very site.<a title="Offshore World" href="http://www.offshore-world.org/" target="_blank"></a></p>
<p>Meantime, would you like to hear some secrets? Would you like to know <a title="How to Use Offshore Banks" href="http://www.qwealthreport.com" target="_blank">how to use offshore banks</a> to protect your assets from greedy governments, you could do no better than starting here at my blog. If you feel I could help you individually, remember I do <a title="Offshore Consulting" href="http://www.petermacfarlane.net/offshore-consulting-by-peter-macfarlane/" target="_self">free consultations</a> for members of <em>The Q Wealth Report</em>. There&#8217;s a lot more stuff going free too if you are interested in reading more about this topic&#8230; like our <a title="Wealth Management and Offshore Banking Course" href="http://www.qwealthreport.com/secrets_super_rich.php" target="_blank">FREE Offshore Banking and Asset Protection E-Mail Cours</a>e in association with Q Wealth Report. Have fun &#8211; and if you&#8217;re in the UK, at least you can breathe a sigh of relief! Come join us offshore soon though.</p>


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		<title>A Fresh New Perspective on Panama Banking</title>
		<link>http://www.petermacfarlane.net/2009/05/26/a-fresh-new-perspective-on-panama-banking/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 26 May 2009 18:10:36 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Banks and banking offshore]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[european bank in panama]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[I was back in Panama City last week and one of the most interesting meetings I had was with a young man who is setting up a new bank in Panama from scratch, almost single handedly! Right now he spends his days meeting with lawyers, other Panamanian bankers, bank regulators and contractors who are working [...]


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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was back in Panama City last week and one of the most interesting meetings I had was with a young man who is setting up a new bank in Panama from scratch, almost single handedly! Right now he spends his days meeting with lawyers, other Panamanian bankers, bank regulators and contractors who are working on installing everything from the floor tiles upwards in the building that will shortly bear the name of his new bank.</p>
<p>Single handedly? Well not quite. What he is actually doing is opening the new Panama subsidiary of his employer, a European boutique private bank that is looking to expand their existing presence in Latin America.</p>
<p>What I liked is the breath of fresh air this will bring to Panama&#8217;s rather staid and conservative banks with their &#8216;take it or leave it&#8217; attitude. For example, they will be offering multi-currency accounts, allowing you to hold 30-plus international currencies in just one account, with one account number and one login access for the internet banking. They are also introducing a customer-focused approach, something that is sorely lacking in Panamanian banks at the moment.</p>
<p>Right now this bank is still not open. They expect to open in 4 &#8211; 6 months with full banking facilities including a street level walk-in retail bank with tellers. (In other words this will be a real bank, not just a represenative office.)</p>
<p>However, if you are going down to Panama in the next few months you could certainly meet with this gentleman and start the process of opening your Panama bank account. Feel free to contact me and I will be happy to introduce you. The only condition is that this service is limited to QWR subscribers. There is no charge for personal account introductions, but we do make a nominal charge of about $1000 for corporate account introductions (Panama corporations and foundations, but also IBCs and Trusts from other jurisdictions are acceptable.)</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t miss out on this excellent opportunity to open your bank account in Panama!</p>


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		<title>St Kitts Offshore Authority Feeling the Pinch</title>
		<link>http://www.petermacfarlane.net/2009/05/26/st-kitts-offshore-authority-feeling-the-pinch/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 26 May 2009 01:45:34 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Cautionary tales and real cases]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[citizenship]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[franchise tax]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IBC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nevis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[panama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[second passport]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[st kitts]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s been an open secret for the last 6-12 months that many beneficial owners of offshore corporations have not been paying their annual taxes and fees. This is not a good idea as it puts the whole structure at risk and the IBC ceases to be in good standing.
However I was quite surprised to receive [...]


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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s been an open secret for the last 6-12 months that many beneficial owners of offshore corporations have not been paying their annual taxes and fees. This is not a good idea as it puts the whole structure at risk and the IBC ceases to be in good standing.</p>
<p>However I was quite surprised to receive this from our resident agent in St Kitts and Nevis:</p>
<blockquote><p>22nd May 2009</p>
<p>To : Company Director(s)</p>
<p>Ref : Government annual renewal fees</p>
<p>Dear All,</p>
<p>The St.Christopher (St.Kitts) and Nevis  Financial Services Regulatory<br />
Department has announced new initiatives with respect to the payment<br />
annual renewal fees for companies that are in arrears.</p>
<p>The incentive offers company director(s) the option to settle arrears of<br />
annual company fees over a period of 12 months, commencing with the<br />
company’s annual renewal date,</p>
<p>Please take advantage of this most welcome offer to bring your company<br />
in Good Standing and keep your company current on the register.</p>
<p>Best regards and feel free to call on us.</p></blockquote>
<p>I suppose the St Kitts government are to be congratulated on their flexibility, but I frankly find it rather unlikely that this will benefit anyone unless they have dozens or hundreds of St Kitts and Nevis IBCs.  Imagine the wire transfer fees involved in making a payment each month&#8230;</p>
<p>St Kitts of course is more famous for its tax-free residence and economic citizenship program, which offers a second passport in just a few months in return for a condo purchase in the island nation.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s interesting to note that Panama is still the only jurisdiction that does not automatically strike companies off the register after a time on the grounds of non-payment of franchise taxes.</p>


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